Jeff Perloff

Professor of Agricultural and Resource Economics
University of California at Berkeley

Recent Research Summary

Effects of Legal Status on Immigrants Working in Agriculture
We show that legal status (citizen, green card, Amnesty, undocumented worker) affects earnings, retention and turnover rates, migration patterns, use of public welfare and private aid programs, and working conditions of agricultural workers. We also examined the effects of efficiency (unusually high) wages and deferred payments as incentives to agricultural workers.

Forecasting Unemployment Rates
We developed new statistical methods to more accurately predict unemployment rates using only information about past rates.

Income Distributions
We developed new statistical methods to estimate the entire Chinese rural and urban income distributions when the government provides only a few summary statistics. We find that these distributions have become more unequal over time and that urban incomes have risen more rapidly than rural ones and provide explanations for these changes (see figures). China and the United States have virtually identical Gini coefficients (a common measure of income inequality) and very similar overall income distributions (see the figure).

Government Policies and Income Distribution
We estimated the effects of all major national and state policies (minimum wages, taxes, welfare, social insurance) on income distributions. We find that taxes have by far the strongest effects and that policies such as taxes and minimum wages laws have different effects in rural and urban areas.

Selected Recent Labor Publications

Journal Articles

Sabrina Isé and Jeffrey M. Perloff, "Legal Status and Earnings of Agricultural Workers," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 77(2), May 1995:375-86.

Susan M. Gabbard and Jeffrey M. Perloff, "The Effects of Wages, Benefits, and Working Conditions on Farm Worker Retention," Industrial Relations, 36(4), October 1997:474-88.

Jeffrey M. Perloff, Lori Lynch, Susan M. Gabbard, "Migration of Seasonal Agricultural Workers," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 80(1), February 1998:154-64.

Amos Golan, Enrico Moretti, and Jeffrey M. Perloff, "An Information-Based Sample-Selec¬tion Estimation Model of Agricultural Workers' Choice Between Piece-Rate and Hourly Work," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 81(3), August 1999:735-41.

Enrico Moretti and Jeffrey M. Perloff, "Use of Public Transfer Programs and Private Aid by Farm Workers," Industrial Relations, 39(1), January 2000:26-47.

Lien H. Tran and Jeffrey M. Perloff, "Turnover in U.S. Agricultural Labor Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 84(2), May 2002:427-37.

Enrico Moretti and Jeffrey M. Perloff, "Efficiency Wages and Deferred Payments in Agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 84(4), November 2002:1144-55.

Amos Golan and Jeffrey M. Perloff, "Superior Forecasts of the U.S. Unemployment Rate Using a Nonparametric Method," Review of Economics and Statistics, 86(1), February 2004:433-438.

Ximing Wu and Jeffrey M. Perloff, "China's Income Distribution, 1985-2001," Review of Economics and Statistics, 87(4), November 2005:763-775.

Ximing Wu and Jeffrey M. Perloff, "GMM Estimation of Maximum Entropy Density with Grouped Data," Journal of Econometrics, forthcoming.

Ximing Wu, Jeffrey M. Perloff, and Amos Golan, "Effects of Government Policies on Urban and Rural Income Inequality," Review of Income and Wealth, 52(2), June 2006:213-235.

Books

Dennis W. Carlton and Jeffrey M. Perloff, Modern Industrial Organization, 4th Ed., Boston: Pearson Addison-Wesley, 2005.

Jeffrey M. Perloff, Microeconomics, 4th Ed., Boston, MA: Pearson Addison Wesley, 2007.

Jeffrey M. Perloff, Larry S. Karp, and Amos Golan, Estimating Market Power and Strategies, Cambridge University Press, forthcoming.